Target Hospitality Corp is a vertically integrated specialty rental and hospitality services company in the United States... Show more
Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) is a leading specialty rental and hospitality services provider in North America, specializing in workforce housing solutions. The company operates through segments including Hospitality & Facilities Services – South, Workforce Hospitality Solutions (WHS), and Government, offering modular accommodation units, catering, maintenance, security, and construction services to U.S. government contractors and natural resource firms. Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, TH holds a strong position in the Industrials sector's Specialty Business Services industry, with a market cap of approximately $1.55 billion. Its business model benefits from long-term contracts in resilient sectors like energy and defense, now expanding into high-growth areas such as data centers, which explains recent stock price strength amid surging demand for infrastructure-related housing.
Over the last 30 days, TH stock climbed from around $9.58 to $15.61, marking a +63% gain. The movement was volatile and trend-driven, with a sharp surge following major news announcements.
In the past quarter, shares advanced from approximately $7.66 to $15.61, delivering a +104% return. The uptrend was steady yet accelerated by positive developments, outperforming broader market benchmarks significantly.
The primary catalyst was the April 1 announcement of a $550 million multi-year contract with a top-five hyperscaler to support a major data center development in Texas, housing thousands of workers starting Q3 2026. This deal prompted a 36% single-day jump and led to raised 2026 guidance, sparking investor enthusiasm for TH's pivot into AI-driven infrastructure. Oppenheimer expressed bullishness on the data center shift, projecting 16% upside, while insider buying signaled confidence. Positive market sentiment around AI and power sector demand further amplified the rally.
Broader quarterly gains stemmed from March 11 Q4 2025 earnings, where revenue hit $89.78 million (up 7.3% YoY), beating estimates despite an EPS miss, with full-year revenue at $320.6 million and Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $53.2 million. Management raised 2026 outlook to $320-$330 million in revenue, highlighting WHS segment growth and contract wins. Texas Capital upgraded the stock post-earnings, citing momentum. Cumulative impacts included prior contracts in power and energy, plus macroeconomic tailwinds from infrastructure demand and stable government exposure, positioning TH competitively.
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Investors should monitor Q1 2026 earnings for updates on data center ramp-up and capex plans ($220-$240 million projected). Key industry trends include AI data center expansion and energy infrastructure needs. Macro factors like interest rates and commodity demand could influence natural resource clients. Watch for new contracts, government segment renewals (potential risks if not extended), and WHS growth. Strategic developments in asset deployment and EBITDA margins amid higher spending will shape sentiment.
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Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where TH advanced for three days, in of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TH as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TH just turned positive on June 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where TH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 139 cases where TH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.328) is normal, around the industry mean (15.594). P/E Ratio (77.150) is within average values for comparable stocks, (70.351). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.445) is also within normal values, averaging (1.504). TH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (6.215) is also within normal values, averaging (8.603).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a financial conglomerate
Industry OfficeEquipmentSupplies